TOURISM AND ECONOMIC STRUCTURE IN A SMALL-OPEN GROWTH MODEL

  • Wei-Bin ZHANG Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific University

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine effects of tourism on economic development. We build an economic growth model of a small open country with tourism in a perfectly competitive economy. The economy consists of one service sector and one industrial sector. International tourists and domestic residents consume non-traded goods and services. The land is distributed between housing and supply of services. The production side is the same as in the neoclassical growth theory, while we use an alternative utility function to determine behavior of the household. The system has a unique stable equilibrium point.
We simulate the motion of the national economy and examine effects of changes in the rate of interest, the price elasticity of tourism, the global economic condition, the total productivities of the industrial and service sectors, and the propensity to save. The comparative dynamic analysis provides some important insights. For instance, when the price elasticity of tourism is increased, the tourist demand and the price of services are reduced; national trade balance is deteriorated; the output of the service sector is reduced and the output of the industrial sector is increased; some of labor force is shifted from the service sector to the industrial sector; the lot size falls and the land input of the service sector is reduced; and the GDP, the consumption levels of the goods and services and wealth level rise initially but fall in the long term.

References

[1] Abel, A.B., and Bernanke, B.S. 1998. Macroeconomics, 3rd Edition. New York: Addison-Wesley.
[2] Balaguer, L., and Cantavella-Jorda, M. 2002. Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: The Spanish case. Applied Economics, 34: 877-84.
[3] Benhabib, J., Meng, Q.L., and Nishimura, K. 2000. Indeterminacy under constant returns to scale in multisector economy. Econometrica, 68: 1541-48.
[4] Benigno, G., and Benigno, P. 2003. Price stability in open economies. Review of Economic Studies 70: 743-64.
[5] Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T., and Campos, J.A. 2006. Tourism productivity – evidence from the United Kingdom. Annals of Tourism Research, 33: 1099-1120.
[6] Brock, P.L. 1988. Investment, the current account, and the relative price of non-traded goods in a small open economy. Journal of International Economics, 24: 235-53.
[7] Chao, C.C., Hazari, B.R., Laffargue, Y.P., and Yu, E.S.H. 2006. Tourism, Dutch disease and welfare in an open dynamic economy. Japanese Economic Review, 57: 501-515.
[8] Chao, C.C., Hazari, B.R., Laffargue, Y.P., and Yu, E.S.H. 2009. A Dynamic Model of Tourism, Employment, and Welfare: The Case of Hong Kong. Pacific Economic Review, 14: 232-245.
[9] Copeland, B.R. 1991. Tourism, welfare and de-industrialization in a small open economy. Economica, 58: 515-29.
[10] Copeland, B.R. 2012. Tourism and Welfare-Enhancing Export Subsidies. The Japanese Economic Review, 63: 232-243.
[11] Corden, W.M., and Neary, J.P. 1982. Booming Sector and De-industrialization in a Small Open Economy. Economic Journal, 92: 825-848.
[12] Diamond, P.A. 1965. Disembodied technical change in a two-sector model. Review of Economic Studies, 32: 161-168.
[13] Dritsakis, N. 2004. Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: an empirical investigation for Greece using causality analysis. Tourism Economics, 10: 305-316.
[14] Drubarry, R. 2004. Tourism and Economic Growth: The Case of Mauritius. Tourism Economics, 10: 389-401.
[15] Drugeon, J.P., and Venditti, A. 2001. Intersectoral external effects, multiplicities & indeterminacies. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 25: 765-787.
[16] Dwyer, L., Forsyth, P., and Spurr, R. 2004. Evaluating tourism’s economic effects. New and old approaches. Tourism Management, 25: 307-317.
[17] Gali, J., and Monacelli, T. 2005. Monetary policy and exchange rate volatility in a small open economy. Review of Economic Studies, 72: 707-734.
[18 Gaŕin-Mũnos, T. 2007. German demand for tourism in Spain. Tourism Management 28: 12-22.
[19] Hazari, B.R., and Lin, J.J. 2011. Tourism, terms of trade and welfare to the poor. Theoretical Economics Letters, 1: 28-32.
[20] Hazari, B.R., and Sgro, P.M. 1995. Tourism and growth in a dynamic model of trade. Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 4: 243-252.
[21] Hazari, B.R., and Sgro, P.M. 2004. Tourism, Trade and National Welfare. Amsterdam, Elsevier.
[22] Kanemoto, Y. 1980. Theories of Urban Externalities. Amsterdam, North-Holland.
[23] Kim, H.J., Chen, M.H., and Jang, S. 2006. Tourism expansion and economic development: the case of Taiwan. Tourism Management, 27: 925-933.
[24] Kollmann, R. 2001. The exchange rate in a dynamic-optimizing business cycle model with nominal rigidities: a quantative investigation. Journal of International Economics, 55: 243-462.
[25] Kollmann, R. 2002. Monetary policy rules in the open economy: effects on welfare and business cycles. Journal of Monetary Economics, 49: 899-1015.
[26] Lane, P.R. 2001. The new open economy macroeconomics: a survey. Journal of International Economics, 54: 235-266.
[27] Lanza, A., Temple, P., and Urga, G. 2003. The implications of tourism specialisation in the long run: an econometric analysis for 13 OECD economies. Tourism Management, 24: 315-321.
[28] Luzzi, G.F., and Flückiger, Y. 2003. Tourism and International Trade: Introduction. Pacific Economic Review, 8: 239-243.
[29] Obstfeld, M., and Rogoff, K. 1996. Foundations of International Macroeconomics. Mass., Cambridge: MIT Press.
[30] Oh, C.O. 2005. The contribution of tourism development to economic growth in the Korean economy. Tourism Management, 26: 39-44.
[31] Ortigueira, S., and Santos, M.S. 2002. Equilibrium dynamics in a two-sector model with taxes. Journal of Economic Theory, 105: 99-119.
[32] Schubert, S.F., and Brida, J.G. 2009. A Dynamic model of economic growth in a small tourism driven economy. Munich Personal RePEc Archive.
[33] Sinclair, M.T., and Stabler, M. 1997. The Economics of Tourism. London: Routledge.
[34] Solow, R. 1956. A contribution to the theory of growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70: 65-94.
[35] Stiglitz, J.E. 1967. A two sector two class model of economic growth. Review of Economic Studies, 34: 227 238.
[36] Syriopoulos, T.C. 1995. A dynamic model of demand for Mediterranean tourism. International Review of Applied Economics, 9: 318-336.
[37] Turnovsky, S.J. 1996. Fiscal policy, growth, and macroeconomic performance in a small open economy. Journal of International Economics, 40: 41-66.
[38] Uzawa, H. 1961. On a two-sector model of economic growth. Review of Economic Studies, 29: 47-70.
[40] Zeira, J. 1987. Risk and capital accumulation in a small open economy. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 102: 265-280.
[41] Zeng, D.Z., and Zhu, X.W. 2011. Tourism and industrial agglomeration. The Japanese Economic Review, 62: 537-601.
[42] Zhang, W.B. 2005. Economic Growth Theory. London: Ashgate.
[43] Zhang, W.B. 2007. Growth and agglomeration of a small-open multi-regional economy. The Journal of Economic Integration, 22: 515-549.
[44] Zhang, W.B. 2008. International Trade Theory: Capital, Knowledge, Economic Structure, Money and Prices over Time and Space. Berlin: Springer.
*** World Tourism Organization. 2008. Tourism Highlights, 2008 Edition. http://www.eunwto.org/ content/j85014/fulltext.pdf
Published
2016-11-11
How to Cite
ZHANG, Wei-Bin. TOURISM AND ECONOMIC STRUCTURE IN A SMALL-OPEN GROWTH MODEL. Journal of Environmental Management and Tourism, [S.l.], v. 3, n. 2, p. 76-92, nov. 2016. ISSN 2068-7729. Available at: <https://journals.aserspublishing.eu/jemt/article/view/384>. Date accessed: 21 nov. 2024.
Section
Journal of Environmental Management and Tourism

Keywords

tourism; price elasticity of tourism; growth; capital accumulation; small open economy