Methodological Basis of Statistical Research on Russia’s Food Security

Svetlana Valentinovna PANKOVA; Alexandr Pavlovich TSYPIN; Valery Vladimirovich POPOV

doi:10.14505//jemt.v8.1(17).11

Svetlana Valentinovna PANKOVA Department of Accounting, Analysis and Audit, Orenburg State University
Alexandr Pavlovich TSYPIN Department of Statistics and Econometrics, Orenburg State University
Valery Vladimirovich POPOV Department of Customs, Orenburg State University

DOI: https://doi.org/10.14505//jemt.v8.1(17).11

Abstract

The article considers theoretical and practical approaches to studying the level of food security in Russia in the context of statistics. The study of the theoretical material enabled to create a terminology database of the “food security” concept, as well as the conceptual framework of the statistical study of Russian food safety. This model is based on the hypothesis made up of three components which are studied to identify statistical relationships: 1) the relationship between food security and inflationary processes; 2) regional differentiation of food security level; 3) consideration of specific features of certain food groups and regional clusters. This algorithm revealed the threat of undermining food security due to the ruble devaluation, falling living standards and a significant reduction in production; substantial differentiation of Russia’s federal subjects by the food security level; the regression models based on panel data showed that there are strong individual effects and the identified relationship should be considered when creating a strategy to increase food security. The paper represents the first attempt to scientifically verify methods of statistical research on the country’s food security. The findings can be used in further research on food safety issues, both by independent researchers and state authorities.

References

[1] Amirov, R. 2015. On the definition of the concept “food security”. Agrarian and Land Law, 2 (122): 13-15.
[2] Anischenko, A.N. 2013. Evaluation of food safety of a region. Issues of Territory Development, 4 (66): 30-39.
[3] Brown, L.R. 2005. Outgrowing the Earth: The Food Security Challenge in an Age of Falling Water Tables and Rising Temperatures. W. W. Norton & Company. ISBN: 978-0-393-32725-0
[4] Chekavinsky, A.N., and Selimenkov, R.Y. 2014. Modelling of food security in the region. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, 4 (34): 226-235.
[5] Dadalko, V.A. 2013. Food security as a component of national and economic security. Bulletin of the Ufa State Aviation Technical University, Volume 17, 7 (60): 17-25.
[6] Denisova, N. and Polyanskiy, S.Y. 2012. Food security as part of the economic security of Russia: challenges and solutions. Bulletin of the P.A. Kostychev Agrotechnological Ryazan State University, 3(15): 14-18.
[7] Gafurov, Sh.I. 2014. Issues of food safety in Russia. Science Time, 12 (12): 94-102.
[8] Godfray, H.C.J., Beddington, J.R., Crute, I.R., Haddad, L., Lawrence, D., Muir, J.F., et al. 2010. Food Security: The Challenge of Feeding 9 Billion People. Science, 327(5967): 812–818. DOI:10.1126/science.1185383. PMID 20110467
[9] Kornev, V.M. and Bakanach, O.V. 2013. The concept of the country’s agri-food system in international statistical comparisons. Economics, 100: 160-162.
[10] Kurdyumov, A.V. 2012. Comparative analysis of the theoretical and methodological approaches to defining “food security”. Proceedings of the Ural State Economic University, 4 (42): 103-117.
[11] Langan, P., Gnanakaran, S., Rector, K.D., Pawley, N., Fox, D.T., et al. 2011. Exploring new strategies for cellulosic biofuels production. Energy Environ. Sci. 4: 3820–3833. DOI:10.1039/c1ee01268a.
[12] Liaukonyte, J, Streletskaya, N.A., Kaiser, H.M. 2015. The Long-Term Impact of Positive and Negative Information on Food Demand. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, 63(4): 539–562. DOI: 10.1111/cjag.12074
[13] Lobachyova, T.I. 2014. Food security as an essential component of national security. Nikon’s Readings, 19: 150-152.
[14] Loginov, D.A. and Ogorodova Y.A. 2014. Food security as an important element of the economic security of Russia. Economics and Management: Challenges and Solutions, 8(32): 120-124.
[15] Martynov, K.P. 2014. Challenges of food safety assessment in Russia. Theory and Practice of Social Development, 14: 94-97.
[16] Mogendi J.B., De Steur, H., Gellynck, X., Makokha, A. 2015. Modelling protection behaviour towards micronutrient deficiencies: Case of iodine biofortified vegetable legumes as health intervention for school-going children. Nutr Res Pract., 10(1): 56-66. Available at: https://doi.org/10.4162/nrp.2016.10.1.56
[17] Morozyuk, N.S. 2012. Indicators of food security. Project Management and Production Development, 2: 1-6.
[18] Semin, A.N. 2013. On the concepts of “food independence” and “food security”. Economics of Agricultural and Processing Enterprises, 11: 1-4.
[19] Shagaida, N., Uzun, V. 2015. Food security: assessment of the problem. Economics Issues, 5: 63-78.
[20] Shew, A. M., Nalley, L.L., Danforth, D.M., Dixon, B.L., Nayga, R.M., Delwaide, A.C., Valent, B. 2016. Are all GMOs the same? Consumer acceptance of cisgenic rice in India. Plant Biotechnology Journal, 14 (1): 4–7.
[21] Steur, H., De Buysse, J., Feng, Sh., Gellynck, X. 2013. Role of Information on Consumers’ Willingness-to-pay for Genetically-modified Rice with Health Benefits: An Application to China. Asian Economic Journal, 27(4): 391–408. DOI: 10.1111/asej.12020
[22] Zhurova, V.G. 2013. Food security as the most important component of Russia’s national security. Issues of the Russian Society, 4: 22-25.