Socio-Economic Resilience of Ukraine as an Imperative of the Policy of Strengthening Migration Security and Minimizing Vulnerability
Abstract
The management of migration processes in terms of ensuring their volumes within optimal limits to minimize social vulnerability is an imperative of the policy of ensuring socio-economic resilience in the context of instability, crisis, and the deepening of new challenges. The article aims to analyze the social vulnerability of Ukraine (on the example of the oblasts of the Carpathian region) in the context of the migration crisis and the weakening of security factors in 2010-2023 as determinants of reduced resilience of socio-economic systems. Based on the calculated composite indicators of social vulnerability, the authors find that the human resource donor regions (the oblasts of the Carpathian region of Ukraine) demonstrated a critical situation of social vulnerability of the population with a tendency to approach the lower marginal threshold, which significantly weakened their migration security and led to a decrease in the socio-economic resilience of the country. The study reveals that the region demonstrated a critical situation of social vulnerability of the population with a tendency to approach the lower marginal threshold (the indicator in the Carpathian region of Ukraine was 0.499). The main triggers for the spread of social vulnerability, and thus the weakening of social resilience, included a decline in the standard of living, disruption of the demographic balance, and the poor quality of the social and labor sphere. In 2010-2015, the trend of ensuring social resilience in the Carpathian region reproduced to the national one, with the highest value of the divergence indicator in 2010 (3.2 pp) and the lowest in 2020 (0.9 pp). The results of the empirical study show that declining living standards, demographic imbalances caused by high migration activity, and structural imbalances in regional labor markets were the main triggers for the spread of social vulnerability and, consequently, the weakening of resilience. The conceptual model of the mechanism envisages analysis of the environment (identification of geopolitical and socio-economic factors influencing migration and assessment of current and potential threats), definition of goals and objectives, drafting scenarios for the development of the migration situation and the impact of each scenario on national security, selection of optimal solutions, and development of alternative planning for socio-economic resilience.
References
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[25] Levytska, O., Mulska, O., Shushkova, Yu., Ivaniuk, U., Vasyltsiv, T., Krupin, V., & Ivanova, L. (2022). Modelling the impact of emigration upon social and economic development of the Carpathian region of Ukraine. Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series, 57: 141-154. DOI: 10.12775/bgss-2022-0028
[26] Lupak, R., Mizyuk, B., Zaychenko, V., Kunytska-Iliash, M., & Vasyltsiv, T. (2022). Migration processes and socio-economic development: interactions and regulatory policy. Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal, 8(1): 70–88. DOI: https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2022.08.01.04
[27] Magis, K. (2010). Community resilience: An indicator of social sustainability. Society & Natural Resources, 23(5): 401-416. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/08941920903305674
[28] Metelev, S. (2016). Migration as a Threat to National Security. Indian Journal of Science and Technology, 9(14): 1-6. DOI: 10.17485/ijst/2016/v9i14/91086
[29] Molnár, A., & Vecsey, M. (2022). The EU’s missions and operations from the central Mediterranean to West Africa in the context of the migration crisis. International Journal of Euro-Mediterranean Studies, 15(1): 55–982. Available at: https://ijems.emuni.si/index.php/home/article/view/22
[30] Mulska O., Vasyltsiv T., Kunytska-Iliash M., & Baranyak I. (2023a). Innovative Empirics of Migration-economic Security Causal Nexus. Science and Innovation, 19(3): 48-64. DOI:https://doi.org/10.15407/scine19.03.048
[31] Mulska O., Vasyltsiv T., Shushkova Yu., Kloba L., & Parfenyuk Ye. (2022). Assessment of the population’s social resilience environment (the case of the Carpathian region of Ukraine). Problems and Perspectives in Management, 2022, 20(1): 407-421. DOI:10.21511/ppm.20(1).2022.33
[32] Mulska, O., Vasyltsiv, T., Mitsenko, N., Ivaniuk, U., & Lekh-Debera, A. (2023b). Conservation of rural human resources in Ukraine: modelling the relationship between migration and economic development. Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal, 9(4): 79-101. DOI:https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2023.09.04.04
[33] Nebrat, V., Kurbet, O. (2025). Social vulnerability in the context of the historical heritage of paternalism. Economy of Ukraine, 68 (761): 90-108. DOI: https://doi.org/10.15407/economyukr.2025.04.090
[34] Panebianco, S. (2020). The EU and migration in the Mediterranean: EU borders’ control by proxy. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 48: 1398–1416. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183X.2020.1851468
[35] Parker, D., & Tapsell, S. (2009). Relations between different types of social and economic vulnerability. Final draft report submitted to EU project Enhancing resilience of communities and territories facing- natural and na-tech hazards (ENSURE).
[36] Pfefferbaum, B., Van Horn, R. L., & Pfefferbaum, R. L. (2017). A conceptual framework to enhance community resilience using social capital. Clinical Social Work Journal, 45(2): 102-110. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10615-015-0556-z
[37] Podgórzanska, R. (2019). The issue of securitization of the Refugee: Problem in the polish political debate. Polish Political Science Yearbook, 48(1): 67–89. DOI: 10.15804/ppsy2019104
[38] Roy, S., Bose, A., Basak, D., Chowdhury, I.R. (2024). Towards sustainable society: the sustainable livelihood security (SLS) approach for prioritizing development and understanding sustainability: an insight from West Bengal, India. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26. DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-03456-x
[39] Shepherd, A. (2021). EU counterterrorism, collective securitization, and the internal-external security nexus. Global Affairs, 7: 733–749. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/23340460.2021.2001958
[40] Shubalyi, O., & Gordiichuk, A. (2022). The socio-economic consequences of the war in Ukraine: the national, regional, and global dimensions. Regional Barometer. Analyses & Prognoses, 18(1). DOI: 10.56583/br.721
[41] Sperling, J., & M. Webber. (2019). The European Union: Security Governance and Collective Securitisation. West European Politics, 42: 228-260. DOI:10.1080/01402382.2018.1510193
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Published
2025-09-30
How to Cite
MULSKA, Olha et al.
Socio-Economic Resilience of Ukraine as an Imperative of the Policy of Strengthening Migration Security and Minimizing Vulnerability.
Theoretical and Practical Research in Economic Fields, [S.l.], v. 16, n. 3, p. 599 - 627, sep. 2025.
ISSN 2068-7710.
Available at: <https://journals.aserspublishing.eu/tpref/article/view/9105>. Date accessed: 08 oct. 2025.
doi: https://doi.org/10.14505/tpref.v16.3(35).06.
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Articles
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