# Mathematical models for simulating Covid-19 contagion in Italy: first wave

• David Carf`ı Department of Mathematics University of California Riverside, USA
• Alessia Donato Eng., PhD student, Department of Economics University of Messina, Italy

### Abstract

In this paper, we provide two approximating functions for some dynamics associated with the first wave of Covid-19 contagion in Italy. We consider also two particular cases of Sicily and Lombardy. We consider only the evolution of total infected cases and new daily cases. We show that the total infected cases need, in the time period considered, two different approximations. We approximate the daily infected curves by the first derivative of the above two functions. In the case of Lombardy, we consider a wider time interval to obtain an ultimate approximation.

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Published
2020-06-30
How to Cite
CARF`I, David; DONATO, Alessia. Mathematical models for simulating Covid-19 contagion in Italy: first wave. Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance, [S.l.], v. 6, n. 1, p. 39-56, june 2020. ISSN 2458-0813. Available at: <https://journals.aserspublishing.eu/jmef/article/view/5770>. Date accessed: 11 may 2021. doi: https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v6.1(10).03.
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