How to Stabilize the Currency Exchange Rate

  • Sergey BLINOV Strategic Planning, KAMAZ

Abstract

In 2015, many countries had to deal with the weakening of their currencies. Issues regarding exchange rate management by the Central Banks have again become the focal point of heated debate.For example, the Russian Ruble exchange rate has been fluctuating hugely. The problem now is not so much the Ruble's weakness as instability of its exchange rate, volatility. As a matter of fact, any country's Central Bank has two methods of stabilizing the exchange rate available to it. Firstly, «adaptive» approach to stabilization may be implemented. In this case, the Central Bank, as it were, «adjusts itself» to the tendencies unfolding in the market, without being active in trying to influence them. Secondly, the Central Bank may use an «active» way of stabilizing the exchange rate. In such a case, it needs to influence the exchange rate without resorting to foreign exchange interventions. Both methods, the adaptive one and the active one, do not require gold or foreign exchange reserves to be spent. It is even the other way round, - the reserves become replenished, while economy gets an impetus for growth.

References

[1] Aleksashenko, S, 2014. Russian Central Bank: Don’t Shoot At the Pianist, Forbes.ru, 17.12.2014. Available at: http://www.forbes.ru/mneniya-column/gosplan/275961-rossiiskii-tsb-ne-strelyaite-v-pianista, (in Russian).
[2] Becker, A., and Grozovsky, B. 2003. Cherepanov’s Staircase, Vedomosti Newspaper No. 1034 dated 22.12.2003. Available at: http://www.vedomosti.ru/newspaper/articles/2003/12/22/lestnica-cherepanova, (in Russian).
[3] Bernanke, B. 2004. Money, Gold, and the Great Depression. Available at: http://www.federalreserve.gov/ boardDocs/ speeches/2004/200403022/default.htm
[4] Blinov, S. 2014. Monetary Policy of Quantitative Easing at the Central Bank’s High Interest Rates, preprint MPRA. Available at: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/60765/1/MPRA_paper_60765.pdf
[5] Blinov, S. 2015a. Dr. Kudrin’s Mistake, Expert,ru 29.04.2015, Expert Magazine No. 23 dated 01.06.2015. Available at: http://expert.ru/expert/2015/23/oshibka-doktora-kudrina/ (in Russian).
[6] Blinov, S. 2015b. Vicious Circle of Economic Policy, Expert.ru, 22.01.2015. Available at: http://expert.ru/ 2015/01/22/porochnyij-krug-ekonomicheskoj-politiki/ (in Russian).
[7] Blinov, S. 2015c. Real Money and Economic Growth, preprint MPRA. Available at: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/67461/1/MPRA_paper_67461.pdf
[8] Blinov, S. 2015d. Secrets of the Ruble’s Stable Exchange Rate, Expert.ru, 15.01.2015. Available at: http://expert.ru/2015/01/15/sekretyi-stabilnogo-kursa-rublya/, (in Russian).
[9] Blinov, S. 2015e. Savings and Inflation Using the Example of Russia in 1992, preprint MPRA. Available at: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/67147/1/MPRA_paper_67147.pdf
[10] Blinov, S. 2016a. Negative Consequences of the Smooth Devaluation, preprint MPRA. Available at: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/70292/1/MPRA_paper_70292.pdf
[11] Blinov, S. 2016b. Three Options of the Economic Policy for Russia, preprint MPRA. Available at: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/68836/1/MPRA_paper_68836.pdf
[12] Chirkova, E. 2010. Anatomy of Financial Bubble. Мoscow, Case Publishers (in Russian).
[13] Farchi, J. 2015. This Is Painful, But This Is Real, Vedomosti No. 3921 dated 21.09.2015. Available at: http://www.vedomosti.ru/politics/characters/2015/09/21/609472-eto-bolno-no-eto-realnost, (in Russian).
[14] Ferguson, N. 2008. The Ascent of Money. The Penguin Press.
[15] Finmarket 2012. VEB Proposes Saving the Stock Market Just As in 2012. Available at: http://www.finmarket. ru/main/article/2947124, (in Russian).
[16] Kommersant 2016. Central Bank: Ruble’s Exchange Rate Can Be Stabilized by Diversification of the Economy Only, Коммерсант.ru, 11.02.2016. Available at: http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/2913607, (in Russian).
[17] Korishchenko, C. 2015. Leaping Ruble: Why Does Volatility Result In High Inflation ?, RBC, 03.11.2015. Available at: http://www.rbc.ru/opinions/finances/03/11/2015/56387bce9a79475f447d5ad3, (in Russian).
[18] Kudrin, A. 2006. Stabilization Fund: Foreign and Russian Experience, Issues of Economics Magazine, 2: 28-44. Available at: http://akudrin.ru/uploads/attachments/file/1/2-06.pdf (in Russian).
[19] Shapovalov, A. 2007. Officials Choose Between the Ruble and Inflation, Kommersant Newspaper No.87 dated 23.05.2007. Available at: http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/767751 (in Russian).
[20] Vernanke, V. 2015. Central Bank and Vasilisa the Wise, or Deflation Under Mask, Expert.ru. Available at: http://expert.ru/2015/08/10/tsb-i-vasilisa-premudraya-ili-deflyatsiya-pod-maskoj/, (in Russian).
[21] Visloguzov, V. 2007. ArkadyDvorkovich Wants To Lengthen the Bonds, Kommersant Newspaper No.86 dated 22.05.2007. Available at: http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/767360, (in Russian).
*** TSMI (Center for Macroeconomic Studies) of Sberbank 2014. Fixed Exchange Rate of the Ruble: Pro et Contra. Available at: http://www.sberbank.ru/common/img/uploaded/analytics/2014/FR29102014.pdf, (in Russian).
Published
2016-11-29
How to Cite
BLINOV, Sergey. How to Stabilize the Currency Exchange Rate. Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance, [S.l.], v. 7, n. 1, p. 38-69, nov. 2016. ISSN 2068-8393. Available at: <https://journals.aserspublishing.eu/jasf/article/view/496>. Date accessed: 22 dec. 2024.
Section
Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance

Keywords

monetary policy, central banking, business cycles, international finance, foreign exchange