Crypto Currency and its Susceptibility to Speculative Bubbles, Manipulation, Scams and Fraud

  • Paul BARNES Paul Barnes and Associates Ltd , Nottingham, United Kingdom

Abstract

It is argued here that because a cryptocurrency has no intrinsic value, problems relating to day-to-day valuation and pricing arise. It is shown how these lead to the reversal of the conventional relationship between supply and demand and the susceptibility of the cryptocurrency markets to irrationality and speculative bubbles arising from the herding instinct. Also, as the cryptocurrency markets are largely free of regulation and the desire for privacy by founders, owners and developers is so great, accountability and disclosure requirements are either minimal or non-existent, leading to the manipulation of cryptocurrency prices, volume and market capitalisation information. Another consequence of their freedom from regulation, particularly surprising given the importance placed on their security through the use of blockchain, is the magnitude of thefts of cryptocurrency (both in terms of frequency and size) levels of which would neither be expected nor tolerated in regulated financial markets.

References

[1] Akerlof, G.A. 1970. The market for lemons: Quality uncertainty and the market mechanism, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84(3): 488-500.
[2] Barnes, P. 2009a. Stock Market Efficiency, Insider Dealing and Market Abuse, Gower Publishing, Aldershot. ISBN-10: 0566088495, 224 pp.
[3] Barnes, P. 2009b. The City Slickers share price scam, in Handbook of Frauds, Scams and Swindles: Failures of ethics in leadership, S. Matulich and D.M. Currie, Taylor & Francis, Boca Raton, Fl., 392 pp.
[4] Barnes, P. 2011a. Minsky’s financial instability hypothesis, accounting information and the 2007-9 financial crisis in the UK and US, Accounting History, 12: 29-53.
[5] Barnes, P. 2011b. Insider dealing and market abuse: The UK”s record on enforcement”, International Journal of Law, Crime and Justice, 39: 174-89.
[6] Barnes, P. 2016. Stock market scams, shell companies, penny shares, boiler rooms and cold calling: the UK experience International Journal of Law, Crime and Justice, 48: 50-64.
[7] Barnes, P. 2018. Recent developments in investment fraud and scams: CFDs, spread betting and binary options (sometimes collectively known as “forbin”) and Forex– the UK experience. Available at: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/85061/1/MPRA_paper_85016.pdf
[8] Foley, S., Karsten, R.J. and Putnins, T.J. 2018. Sex, Drugs, and Bitcoin: How Much Illegal Activity Is Financed Through Cryptocurrencies? Available at: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3102645
[9] Golstein, S. 2018a. Are Cryptocurrency Exchanges Lying About Their Volumes? Finance Magnates, 12 March. Available at: https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/news/cryptocurrencynewscryptocurrency-exchanges-lying-volumes/
[10] Golstein, S. 2018b. Are Bitcoin Bots Turning Wild West into Westworld? Finance Magnates Cryptocurrency News, 3 October. Available at: https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/news/are-bitcoin-bots-turning-wild-west-into-westworld/
[11] Griffin, J.M. and Shams, A. 2018. Is Bitcoin Really Un-Tethered? Available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3195066.
[12] Kauflin, J. 2018. Here today, gone tomorrow: Crypto billionaires’ net worth falls by billions, Forbes, 30 March, Available at: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jeffkauflin/2018/03/30/here-today-gone-tomorrow-crypto-billionair es-net-worth-falls-by-billions/#77b86e7414d9
[13] Keynes, J.M. 1936. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, London, Macmillan Press. Available at: http://cas2.umkc.edu/economics/people/facultypages/kregel/courses/econ645/winter2011/ generaltheory.pdf
[14] Kindleberger, C.P. and Aliber, R.Z. 2011. Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises, 6th edit., Basingstoke, John Wiley & Sons. ISBN-10: 0230365353, ISBN-13: 9780230365353, 356 pp.
[15] Lanz, J.A. 2008. Meet the 5 crypto-billionaires listed in Fortune’s 40 under 40, 22 July. Available at: https://ethereumworldnews.com/5-crypto-billionaires-listed-fortune-40-under-40/
[16] Mackay, C. 1841. Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, London, Richard Bentley. Available at: https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=hvd.hw36n0;view=1up;seq=1
[17] McIntosh, R. 2018a. Inflated Trading on Crypto Exchanges: Are Fake Volumes Fake News? Finance Magnates. Available at: https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/news/inflated-trading-on-crypto-exchanges-are-fake-volumes-fake-news/
[18] McIntosh, R. 2018b. Location, Location: Crypto Companies with non-existent HQs and what that means, Finance Magnates, 19 September. Available at: https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/ news/location-location-crypto-companies-with-non-existent-hqs-what-that-means/
[19] Minsky, H.P. 1975. John Maynard Keynes, Palgrave Macmillan UK. ISBN: 978-1-349-02679-1, 181 pp.
[20] Minsky, H.P. 1982. The Financial - Instability Hypothesis: Capitalist Processes and the Behavior of the Economy in C.P. Kindleberger and J. Laffargue (eds.) Financial Crises: Theory, History, and Policy. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 301 pp.
[21] Nakamoto, S. 2014. Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. Available at: https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
[22] Vigna, P. and Osipovic, A. 2018. Bots Are Manipulating Price of Bitcoin in Wild West of Crypto, Wall Street Journal’, 2 October. Available at: https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-bots-manipulating-bitcoins-price-1538481600
[23] Wagner, A. 2014. Digital vs. Virtual Currencies. Bitcoin Magazine, Volume 11, August 22. Available at: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/digital-vs-virtual-currencies-1408735507/
*** www.paulbarnes.org.uk
*** https://www.coinmarkets.net/all/views/all/
*** https://bitcoinafrica.io/
*** https://www.justice.gov/file/1080281
*** www.bitmoneynews.com/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-maven-theresa-lynn-tetley-sentenced-to-12-months-jail-for-money-la undering/
*** https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/regulation/fca-eyes-outright-ban-on-cryptocurrency-cfds-rep ort-says/
*** https://www.fca.org.uk/news/news-stories/consumer-warning-about-risks-investing- cryptocurrency-cfds.
*** https://marksrealreviews.com/new-tycoon-plus
*** https://www.actionfraud.police.uk/news/well-known-names-being-used-in-cryptocurrency-scams-apr18)
*** https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2886369.0
*** https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-05-24/bitcoin-manipulation-is-said-to-be-focus-of-u-s-criminal-pro be
*** https://www.fca.org.uk/news/warnings/blackrock-crypto-asset-management-limited-clone
*** https://www.coinstaker.com/ico-list/
*** https://www.coinspeaker.com/2017/12/01/europe-accounts-nearly-half-funds-raised-via-icos-atomicos-report-finds/
*** https://www.wsj.com/articles/buyer-beware-hundreds-of-bitcoin
*** https://medium.com/satis-group/ico-quality-development-trading-e4fef28df04f
*** https://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/ey-research-initial-coin-offerings-icos/%24File/ey-research-initial-coin -offerings-icos.pdf.
*** https://www.howeycoins.com/index.html
*** https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-cryptocurrency-arisebank/u-s-halts-arisebanks-initial-coin-offering-alleges-fraud-idUSKBN1FJ222
*** https://www.blockchainandthelaw.com/2017/11/third-class-action-for-tezos-ico
*** https://www.theverge.com/2018/1/27/16940598/coincheck-hack-500-million-nem-tokens-cryptocurrency.
Published
2019-01-30
How to Cite
BARNES, Paul. Crypto Currency and its Susceptibility to Speculative Bubbles, Manipulation, Scams and Fraud. Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance, [S.l.], v. 9, n. 2, p. 60-77, jan. 2019. ISSN 2068-8393. Available at: <https://journals.aserspublishing.eu/jasf/article/view/2646>. Date accessed: 26 apr. 2024. doi: https://doi.org/10.14505//jasf.v9.2(18).03.
Section
Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance